Farashin Bitcoin ya sauka zuwa $25k, matakin da ya taba a karon farko cikin shekaru biyu. Coinbase, sanannen dandalin musayar cryptocurrency ya faɗi cikin ƙima.
Tsayayyen tsabar kudi a sararin samaniyar crypto ya fadi da kashi 90%.
Kasuwannin hannayen jari na duniya sun bayar da rahoton asarar kusan dala tiriliyan 11, wanda ya haifar da hadari mafi girma tun bayan rikicin kudi na 2008. Amma me ya sa?
Za mu rushe ainihin gaskiyar kasuwannin Crypto, me yasa hadarin ya faru, da abin da ya kamata mu sa ran nan gaba. Don haka ku tsaya don ganowa.
Abubuwan Farko Na Farko: Me yasa Crypto Crashing?
Yin nazarin kasuwar kadari ba guntu ba ce. Kowane ƙwararren yana da bincike na musamman. Zan bayyana muku wannan yanayin kasuwa tare da bayanan tarihi da yanayin halin yanzu a duk faɗin duniya.
Anan akwai manyan dalilai 4 da ke bayan faɗuwar crypto na yanzu.
1. Tashin Kuɗi Yana Nan
Jadawalin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na Amurka
Jadawalin da ke sama yana nuna ƙarara a hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Amurka. Haka ne, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya kai matsayin da ba a taba gani ba a kasar tun bayan faduwar shekarar 2008, kuma hakan yana kara ruguza kasuwar crypto.
Bari in bayyana muku yadda:
Yayin da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya tashi, kayayyaki suna tsada kuma karfin sayayya na jama'a yana raguwa. Wannan kuma yana nufin cewa darajar kudin ta fadi. Saboda haka, hauhawar farashin kaya kai tsaye yana shafar darajarsa.
A ƙasa, zaku iya ganin yadda Fihirisar Dalar Amurka ta taɓa sabon tsayi a cikin 'yan lokutan.
Jadawalin dalar Amurka
Wannan ginshiƙi yana wakiltar motsi da ɓarna (karye yankin juriya mai ƙarfi) na Fihirisar Dalar Amurka.
Kuna iya ma ganin yadda Bull Run na kasuwar crypto ya fara yayin da ma'aunin DXY ya fara faɗuwa. Ainihin, yana nufin cewa mutane suna saka kuɗin su a cikin cryptocurrencies maimakon fiat, wanda ke haifar da faduwar dalar Amurka.
A lokaci guda, yayin da ma'aunin DXY ya fara komawa baya, ya haifar da faɗuwa da yawa a cikin kasuwar crypto, ta sake tabbatar da cewa index ɗin Dalar Amurka da Bitcoin suna da alaƙa da juna.
Yayin da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya yi kamari kuma mutane suna yin asarar kuɗaɗensu, Dalar Amurka ta karya babbar juriya ta kai sabon matsayi. Duba wannan ginshiƙi na ƙasa don ganin yadda kasuwannin Amurka suka faɗo saboda waɗannan abubuwan.
Tsarin S&P 500
Wannan ginshiƙi yana nuna yadda kasuwannin Amurka suka fuskanci hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. Faduwar kasuwar hada-hadar hannayen jari ta nuna karara ta nuna halin da ake ciki na fargabar kasuwa a tsakanin masu zuba jari da ‘yan kasuwa. Hakazalika, an ga matsananciyar sayar da kayayyaki a kasuwannin crypto saboda hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.
2. Dokokin Cryptocurrency
Canje-canjen da aka yi a kwanan nan a cikin ƙa'idodin cryptocurrencies sun haifar da buzz mai yawa (ba haka ba TBH mai kyau) a tsakanin mutane. A cikin abubuwan da suka faru, ƙasashe da yawa sun ba da sanarwar haraji mai nauyi akan duk kadarorin dijital.
Italiya ta ba da sanarwar cewa canja wurin cryptocurrencies daga musayar ko ma canja wurin cryptocurrencies zuwa agogon fiat zai kasance abin dogaro ga harajin canji na 26%. Faransa ta ayyana wani gagarumin haraji na kashi 55%. (Mafi kyawun sa'a ga duk masu karatun Faransanci.)
Hakazalika, Indiya kuma ta kawo manyan ka'idoji kamar yadda duk cryptocurrencies za a caje haraji 30% akan samun kudin shiga ta hanyar canja wurin. agojin dijital. Har ila yau gwamnatin Indiya ta yanke shawarar harajin masu amfani da ita komai yawan asara ko kashe-kashen da suka yi kafin samar da kudaden shiga.
Wannan kuma ya kawo FUD da yawa (Tsoron Rashin tabbas, da Shakku) a kasuwa kasancewar ana ganin wannan yunkuri na son kai ne ta fuskar amfanar mutane. Domin ya kamata gwamnati ta tsaya wa jama’a da kuma jama’a.
Koyaya, ayyana irin wannan haraji mai nauyi akan crypto ribar ba tare da la'akari da asarar da aka yi ba yana sa mutane su ji tsoron cewa gwamnati na adawa da su daga amfani da cryptocurrencies.
3. Bans & Tsaro
Kamar dai ƙa'idodi masu tsauri ba su isa ga sararin samaniyar crypto don ci gaba da asara ba, jigon labarai da sabuntawa sun mamaye kasuwanni sosai.
Kasar Sin ta sake dakatar da kudaden dijital, tana mai da su a matsayin "ayyukan kudi na haram" (a zahiri a karo na 1000). Wannan ya zo a matsayin wani rauni ga duniya baki daya yayin da kasar Sin ke da dimbin masu zuba jari da 'yan kasuwa kuma ita ce cibiyar hako ma'adinai ta bitcoin.
Haramcin da aka yi kan dukkan wuraren hakar ma'adinai na bitcoin a kasar Sin ya kuma haifar da rudani a kasuwa. A farkon 2022, shahararriyar hanyar sadarwar caca ta NFT Ronin ya ba da rahoton asarar kusan dala miliyan 600 saboda wani dan gwanin kwamfuta wanda ya keta hanyar sadarwar su, wanda ya zama na biyu mafi girma na hack crypto.
Wani sanannen sabunta crypto, Crypto.com kuma ta ruwaito cewa hackers sun sayar da kusan dala miliyan 30 daga walat ɗin abokin ciniki.
Duk waɗannan abubuwan sun ci gaba da tabarbare farashin Bitcoin da duk Alts a kasuwa.
4. FUD (Tsoro, Rashin tabbas, Shakku)
FUD ta mamaye kasuwar crypto, eh kuma. Al'amura sun fara daidaita bayan barkewar cutar lokacin da Rasha ta yanke shawarar mamaye Ukraine tare da lalata kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi. A cikin yakin, an sami matsananciyar tallace-tallace da ke fitowa daga Rasha wanda ya karu da raguwa a cikin Bitcoin.
Bugu da kari, da hadarin na Terra's Luna da UST ya shafi amincin duk kudaden dijital. Waɗannan abubuwan sun sa mutane su yi taka-tsan-tsan har ma'anar Tsoro da Haɗari (maƙalar da ke nuna ra'ayoyin jama'ar da ke cikin kasuwa gaba ɗaya.
Jima'i Lokaci-Sai A cikin Mayu Ya tafi
Idan kuna da wasu ilimi game da kasuwannin hannun jari, to dole ne ku saba da wannan kalmar. "Sai a watan Mayu ya tafi" yana nufin cewa ya kamata ku sayar da duk jarin ku a cikin watan Mayu.
Wannan ka'idar ta dogara ne akan gaskiyar cewa kasuwannin hannayen jari na duniya suna yin ƙima sosai daga Mayu zuwa Oktoba, kuma tun da kasuwar crypto ma tana da alaƙa da kasuwar hannun jari, ana iya ganin tasirin a nan kuma.
Wannan jujjuyawar a cikin kasuwar crypto da alama ya yi daidai lokacin, yayin da ya shiga faɗuwa kyauta a farkon Mayu kanta.
Wannan dabi'a ce?
Idan kun kasance farkon tsuntsu da ke shiga wannan kasuwa bayan 2020, kun ga lokacin zinare na ayar crypto. Sanya kowane kuɗi a kowane lokaci kuma sami tabbataccen dawowa! Abin da life hack, eh?
To, kun yi kuskure. Abin da kuka kasance kuna gani shine fitowar bijimi a yanzu. Kuma a zahiri, bayan kowane bijimin gudu, akwai kasuwa mai tsayi. A gaskiya ma, da Bear kasuwar crypto yana da tsauri sosai. Bitcoin yana faɗuwa aƙalla 80% bayan kowane bijimin gudu.
Don haka, ko kuna so ko ba ku so, muna cikin kasuwar bear kuma da zarar kun yarda da shi zai fi kyau. A gaskiya ma, ga duk abin da muka sani, mun kasance a cikin kasuwar bear fiye da shekara guda yanzu.
Hakanan, wannan ba wani abu bane da ya zo mana kwatsam, saboda matakin farashi koyaushe yana ba da shawarar ƙarshen bijimin ya dawo baya tun watan Mayu 2021.
yaya? To, amsar tana kan ginshiƙi koyaushe. Yana da matukar dabi'a don bitcoin ya yi sama-sama bayan guduwar bijimi, wanda ke nuna ƙarshen zagayowar.
Yanzu, kuna iya tunanin cewa ta yaya wannan zai zama kasuwar bear idan Bitcoin ya yi sabon babban lokaci bayan 'yan watanni? Da kyau, tabbas bitcoin ya sake yin wani babban lokaci, amma kusan dukkanin altcoins sun yi ƙasa da ƙasa.
Kuma idan kun san wani abu game da fasaha analysis, za ku san cewa ƙananan ƙananan yana nuna alamar raguwa!
Wannan ana cewa, duk wannan al'ada ce?
Tabbas, a zahiri, haka kasuwar crypto ke aiki.
Idan kun kasance sababbi ga wannan kasuwa, ƙila za ku yi baƙin ciki ganin yadda jarin ku ke raguwa da ƙaƙƙarfan 80% – 90%. Duk da haka, yana da matukar al'ada ga alt-coins su yi karo fiye da 90 kuma a wasu lokuta ma fiye da 95% kafin su koma zuwa sabon matsayi na kowane lokaci.
Me ke gaba - Shin Bijimin Ya Gudu?
Kafin ka bata wa kanka rai da tunanin cewa kasuwa ta mutu, kuma ba za mu tashi sama ba, za ka so ka ajiye fuskarka a gefe na dan lokaci sannan ka zura ido don kallon babban hoto.
1. Hoton Macro - Bakan gizo Chart
Idan kun kasance wanda ya saba da Nazarin Fasaha, to kuna iya samun ma'anar. Ga wasu, wannan ginshiƙi ne na bakan gizo wanda ke nuna motsin farashin Bitcoin. Ya nuna a fili yadda bayan kowane kasa akwai babban matsin siye a kasuwa.
Wannan hadarin ba sabon abu bane ga duniyar crypto, saboda har yanzu yana da kyau sosai a cikin samuwar bakan gizo, wanda a zahiri ya nuna cewa lokaci yayi da kyau don SIYA! Koyaya, idan kun rikice game da ko mafi munin ya ƙare don Bitcoin ko a'a, karanta batu na gaba a hankali.
2. Ok, Mun yi karo da yawa. To, Shin Asan Yake?
Jadawalin da ke sama yana nuna motsin farashin Bitcoin tun daga 2015. To, kar a ƙididdige yawan arzikin da za ku kasance idan kun saka hannun jari a baya. Lokaci yayi da za a saka jari mai kyau yanzu da kuma nan gaba.
Jan kintinkiri shine MA 200 mako-mako (Matsakaicin Motsawa). Wannan layin yana nuna matsakaicin farashin bitcoin a cikin kyandir 200 na ƙarshe. A bayyane yake a bayyane yadda Bitcoin ya kasance koyaushe yana amfani da wannan matsakaicin motsi azaman tallafi mai ƙarfi.
Tun daga 2015, BTC ya dawo da karfi daga 200 MA kuma ya ci gaba da gudu mai karfi. Har zuwa yanzu, farashin bai taɓa matsakaita mai motsi ba. Don haka, idan za ku saka hannun jari dangane da bayanan tarihi, zaku iya tsammanin Bitcoin zai ƙara ƙasa kuma ya sumbaci 200 Weekly MA.
3. Rabawa
Wani muhimmin mahimmanci da masu sana'a ke la'akari da su yayin tsinkayar makomar Bitcoin shine raguwa. Wannan lamari ne da ke zuwa sau ɗaya a kowace shekara huɗu. Kamar yadda wani yake haƙa bitcoin, akwai takamaiman adadin Bitcoin da suke karɓa.
Wannan adadin yana raguwa cikin rabi bayan hakar ma'adinan sabbin tubalan 2,10,000. Misali, idan kun kasance kuna samun bitcoins 50 a shekara ta 2009 to a 2012 kamar yadda sabbin tubalan 2,10,000 suka samar, wannan ladan ya zama 25, watau rabin abin da kuke karba. Me yasa?
To, abin ban mamaki Satoshi Nakamoto ya kasance gwanin tunani game da taswirar hanya don gaba. Wannan raguwa ya sanya Bitocin abin da yake a yau. Idan da ba a sami irin wannan abu ba, to da kowa ya yi hadari tare da ma'adinai na Bitcoin kuma ya sami riba mara iyaka.
Wannan tsari ya kawo kwanciyar hankali ga duniyar crypto kuma ya kiyaye ma'auni a cikin samarwa da sarkar buƙata.
A baya, an sami raguwar raguwa a cikin shekarun 2009, 2012, 2016, da 2020 kuma yanzu ana hasashen a cikin shekara ta 2024. Wannan taron yana kawo matsin lamba mai yawa a kasuwa yayin da wadatar Bitcoin ke raguwa. Don haka, ee, yana da yuwuwar kasuwar crypto ta yi haɓaka a cikin 2024.
4. Don haka, Me Ya Kamata Ku Yi- Sayar ko Sayi?
Ka tuna, a zahiri Bitcoin ya kasance koyaushe yana cikin tseren bijimin tun daga 2011 kuma masu saka hannun jari na dogon lokaci ba su taɓa ɗanɗano abin da asarar ke ji ba. Idan kun yi watsi da waɗannan hadarurruka na ɗan gajeren lokaci, zaku iya samun kuɗi mai mahimmanci daga Bitcoin.
Zaɓi kowane ginshiƙi na Bitcoin, za ku ga cewa tsabar kudin koyaushe yana cikin haɓaka kuma waɗannan hadarurruka sun kasance a baya kuma. Abin da ke da mahimmanci shine yadda kuke magance waɗannan rikice-rikice.
A ƙarshe, kuna tsammanin ni mai tsarki ne don ba ku fahimta da yawa game da duniyar crypto?
Babban mai A'a!
Duk waɗannan nazari da tsinkaya sun dogara ne akan bincike da nazari na. Ee, zaku iya amfani da su don abubuwan nassoshi kuma don samun ra'ayi game da duk duniyar crypto. Amma ba shawarwarin kudi bane.
Ana ba da shawarar koyaushe don yin naku binciken kafin saka kuɗin ku mai wahala a ko'ina.
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