Ngati ndinu watsopano kudziko lakusanthula zaukadaulo, ndiye kuti awa ndiye malo abwino oyambira.
Apa, mupeza zonse zomwe muyenera kudziwa kuti muyambe, kuyambira pazoyambira za charting kupita kumalingaliro apamwamba kwambiri ngati zizindikiro.
Kusanthula kwaukadaulo ndi chida champhamvu chomwe chingagwiritsidwe ntchito kukuthandizani kupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino zamalonda.
Potenga nthawi yophunzira ndikumvetsetsa, mutha kudzipatsa nokha m'mphepete mwamsika.
Kotero, tiyeni tiyambe!
Kodi ndi Zotani Zowunika?
Technical Analysis ndi kafukufuku wa misika yazachuma kutengera mbiri yakale yoperekedwa pa tchati. Tchatichi chikhoza kukhala ngati mzere, choyikapo nyali, kapena kapamwamba.
Mothandizidwa ndi kayendetsedwe ka mtengo ndi voliyumu, kusanthula kwaumisiri kumachitidwa kuti azindikire mwayi wopeza mwayi wopeza nthawi yayitali komanso yayitali.
Akatswiri ofufuza zaumisiri amakhulupirira kuti khalidwe la anthu onse pamsika, kuphatikizapo ogula ndi ogulitsa, limatsimikizira mtengo. Kusanthula kwaukadaulo nthawi zambiri kumagwiritsidwa ntchito pozindikira mitengo yamitengo yomwe ingapereke zidziwitso za komwe mtengowo ukulowera.
Basic Terms of Technical Analysis
Tiyeni tiyambe ndi zoyambira zaukadaulo zaukadaulo kuti zikuthandizeni kuzigwira tisanapitirire kuzinthu zina zapamwamba.
1. Zoyikapo nyali
Makandulo ndi chimodzi mwa zida zodziwika bwino zomwe akatswiri ofufuza zaukadaulo amaunika msika. Ndiosavuta kuwerenga ndipo amatha kupereka zambiri zokhudza msika.
Zoyikapo nyali zimapangidwa pokonza mtengo wachitetezo pakanthawi kochepa. Choyikapo nyali chilichonse chimayimira mtengo wamtengo wapatali pa nthawi inayake. Choyikapo nyalicho chimapangidwa ndi thupi ndi mithunzi iwiri. Thupi limayimira mitengo yotseguka ndi yotseka kwa nthawiyo, pamene mithunzi imayimira mitengo yapamwamba ndi yotsika pa nthawiyo.
Choyikapo nyalicho chikhoza kupereka zambiri zokhudza msika, kuphatikizapo momwe njira ikuyendetsedwera, mphamvu zomwe zikuchitika, komanso zosintha zomwe zingatheke. Zoyikapo nyali zitha kugwiritsidwa ntchito munthawi iliyonse, kuphatikiza ola lililonse, maola anayi, tsiku limodzi, mwezi umodzi, kapena chaka chimodzi.
Ngati mutangoyamba kumene kusanthula zaukadaulo, zoyikapo nyali ndi malo abwino kuyamba. Iwo ndi osavuta kutanthauzira ndipo angapereke zambiri zamtengo wapatali za msika.
2. Mafelemu a Nthawi
Pankhani ya kusanthula kwaukadaulo, chimodzi mwazinthu zofunika kuziganizira ndi nthawi. Izi ndichifukwa choti nthawi zosiyanasiyana zimatha kupereka zidziwitso zosiyanasiyana. Mwachitsanzo, tchati cha nthawi yayitali chikhoza kukuwonetsani zochitika zonse, pamene tchati chachifupi chikhoza kukuwonetsani zambiri zamtengo wapatali.
Chimodzi mwazinthu zofunika kwambiri kukumbukira ndikuti musamangodalira nthawi imodzi yokha. M'malo mwake, muyenera kuyang'ana mafelemu angapo kuti mupeze chithunzi chokwanira. Mwachitsanzo, mutha kuyang'ana tchati chanthawi yayitali kuti muzindikire zomwe zikuchitika, ndiyeno yang'anani tchati chachifupi kuti mulowetse nthawi yanu.
Palibe nthawi "yoyenera" kapena "yolakwika" yoti mugwiritse ntchito. Zonse zimatengera mtundu wanu wamalonda komanso chidziwitso chomwe mukufuna. Amalonda ena amakonda kugwiritsa ntchito ma chart a nthawi yayitali, pomwe ena amakonda ma chart amfupi. Pamapeto pake, zili ndi inu kuyesa mafelemu osiyanasiyana anthawi ndikuwona zomwe zimakupindulitsani.
3. Machitidwe Azithunzi
Mu kusanthula kwaukadaulo, mzere wamayendedwe ndi mzere wowongoka womwe umagwirizanitsa mfundo ziwiri kapena zingapo zamtengo pa tchati. Mizere yama thrend imagwiritsidwa ntchito kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika komanso kusintha kwamayendedwe.
Mizere yamayendedwe imatha kukhala yotsetsereka m'mwamba ( bullish), kutsika-kutsetsereka (bearish), kapena yopingasa (yosalala). Makhalidwe apamwamba amatanthauzidwa kuti ndi otsika kwambiri komanso okwera kwambiri, pamene ma downtrends amatanthauzidwa ngati otsika kwambiri komanso otsika kwambiri. Mizere yopingasa imagwiritsidwa ntchito kuzindikira milingo ya chithandizo ndi kukana.
Mizere yokhazikika imatha kugwiritsidwa ntchito nthawi iliyonse, koma imakhala yothandiza kwambiri pamafuremu anthawi yayitali monga machati atsiku ndi tsiku, mlungu uliwonse, kapena mwezi uliwonse chifukwa amapereka chizindikiro champhamvu ndikuchepetsa phokoso lomwe limapezeka pamafuremu amfupi.
Pojambula mizere yamayendedwe, ndikofunikira kugwiritsa ntchito mitengo yambiri momwe mungathere. Mitengo yamtengo wapatali yomwe imalumikizidwa, ndiye kuti mzerewu umakhala wofunikira kwambiri.
Pali mitundu iwiri ya mizere yamatrend:
- Njira zochiritsira ndi chithandizo chamankhwala
- Kusuntha pafupifupi mizere yamayendedwe
Mizere yothandizira ndi kukana imakokedwa ndikulumikiza kutsika kwamitengo mu uptrend ndi kukwera kwamitengo mu downtrend. Mizere yamtunduwu ikuwonetsa mulingo womwe mitengo ingapeze chithandizo kapena kukana.
Mizere yapakati yosuntha imapangidwa popanga chiwembu chosuntha pa tchati chamtengo. Mizere iyi ikuwonetsa mtengo wapakati wachitetezo pakanthawi. Tikambirana mwatsatanetsatane m'nkhani ino.
Mizere yama Trend ndi chida chothandiza kwa amalonda kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika ndikupanga zisankho zamalonda. Komabe, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti mizere yamayendedwe siili yeniyeni ndipo iyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina zaukadaulo.
4. Zitsanzo
Pali mitundu yosiyanasiyana yomwe akatswiri aukadaulo amafufuza akamayesa kulosera zam'tsogolo zamitengo. Zina mwa machitidwe otchuka kwambiri ndi awa:
1. Mutu & Mapewa
Ichi ndi chitsanzo chosinthika chomwe chimapangidwa pamene mtengo umapanga nsonga (mutu), wotsatiridwa ndi wotsika kwambiri (phewa lakumanzere), ndiyeno nsonga ina (phewa lamanja). Phewa lamanja nthawi zambiri limakhala lotsika kuposa mutu, ndipo chitsanzocho chimaonedwa kuti ndi chokwanira pamene mtengo umatha pansi pa khosi.
2. Pamwamba Pawiri
Ichi ndi njira yosinthira yomwe imapangidwa pamene mtengo umapanga nsonga ziwiri zotsatizana, ndipo nsonga yachiwiri imakhala yotsika kuposa yoyamba. Chitsanzocho chimaonedwa kuti ndi chokwanira pamene mtengo umatha pansi pa mzere wothandizira wopangidwa ndi apamwamba awiri.
3. Pansi Pawiri
Ichi ndi njira yosinthira yomwe imapangidwa pamene mtengo umapanga kutsika kuwiri kotsatizana, ndi kutsika kwachiwiri kukhala wapamwamba kuposa woyamba. Chitsanzocho chimaonedwa kuti ndi chokwanira pamene mtengo umatha pamwamba pa mzere wotsutsa womwe umapangidwa ndi zotsika ziwiri.
4. Pamwamba Patatu
Ichi ndi njira yosinthira yomwe imapangidwa pamene mtengo umapanga nsonga zitatu zotsatizana, ndipo chiwongola dzanja chachitatu chimakhala chotsika kuposa ziwiri zoyambirira. Chitsanzocho chimaonedwa kuti ndi chokwanira pamene mtengo umatha pansi pa mzere wothandizira wopangidwa ndi atatu apamwamba.
5. Pansi Patatu
Ichi ndi njira yosinthira yomwe imapangidwa pamene mtengo umapanga kutsika katatu kotsatizana, ndi kutsika kwachitatu kumakhala kokwera kuposa ziwiri zoyambirira. Chitsanzocho chimaonedwa kuti ndi chokwanira pamene mtengo umatha pamwamba pa mzere wotsutsa womwe umapangidwa ndi katatu.
Izi ndi zochepa chabe mwa njira zambiri zosiyana zomwe akatswiri ofufuza zaumisiri amayang'ana poyesa kulosera za kayendetsedwe ka mitengo yamtsogolo. Chitsanzo chilichonse chili ndi malamulo ake ndi malangizo ake, ndipo zili kwa wofufuza kuti adziwe ngati chitsanzocho chili chovomerezeka komanso choyenera kugulitsa.
5. Mtengo & Voliyumu
Mu kusanthula kwaukadaulo, mtengo ndi voliyumu ndizizindikiro ziwiri zofunika kwambiri za msika. Mtengo ndi muyeso wa mtengo wachitetezo, pomwe voliyumu ndi muyeso wa kuchuluka kwa magawo omwe amagulitsidwa.
Mtengo ndi kuchuluka nthawi zambiri zimagwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi kuti zizindikire zomwe zikuchitika pamsika. Mwachitsanzo, ngati mtengo wa chitetezo ukukwera ndipo voliyumu ikuwonjezeka, zikhoza kukhala chizindikiro chakuti msika uli ndi chitetezo pa chitetezo. Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, ngati mtengo ukugwa ndipo voliyumu ikuwonjezeka, zikhoza kukhala chizindikiro chakuti msika ndi wochepa pa chitetezo.
Akatswiri ofufuza zaumisiri amagwiritsa ntchito njira zosiyanasiyana zowunikira mtengo ndi kuchuluka kwa data. Njira zina zodziwika bwino zimaphatikizira kusanthula kwamayendedwe, milingo yothandizira ndi kukana, komanso kusuntha kwapakati.
Mtengo ndi kuchuluka kwa data zitha kupezeka pamasamba ambiri azachuma. Mabizinesi ambiri amaperekanso izi kwa makasitomala awo.
luso Indicators
Zizindikiro zaumisiri ndi zida zogwiritsidwa ntchito ndi amalonda kuwunika zomwe zachitika kale komanso zamasiku ano zamitengo ndikupanga zisankho zamalonda. Pali mitundu yambiri ya zizindikiro zaumisiri, iliyonse ili ndi mphamvu zake ndi zofooka zake.
Tiyeni tiwone zina mwazizindikiro zodziwika bwino zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito ndi amalonda ogwira ntchito komanso osunga ndalama.
1. Kusuntha kwapakati
Avereji yosuntha imathandizira kuchotsapo mitengo pochotsa "phokoso" pakusintha kwamitengo. Ndichizindikiro chosonyeza zochitika zomwe zimachokera pamitengo m'mbuyomu.
Kusuntha kwapakati kumawerengedwa potenga chiwerengero cha chiwerengero cha mitengo yapitayi, ndipo zotsatira zake za deta zimayikidwa pa tchati. Chiwerengero cha mitengo yam'mbuyomu yomwe idagwiritsidwa ntchito powerengera imadziwika kuti nthawi. Mwachitsanzo, 10-nthawi yosuntha avareji imagwiritsa ntchito ma data 10 omaliza kuwerengera mtengo wosuntha wotsatira.
Monga momwe dzinalo likusonyezera, kusuntha kwapakati "kusuntha" chifukwa kumawerengedwanso nthawi zonse pamene deta yamtengo wapatali imalowa. Mtengo ukakhala pamwamba pa chiwongolero chosuntha, nthawi zambiri umadziwika kuti ndi wokwera, ndipo mtengo ukakhala wocheperako, umadziwika kuti ndi wotsika kwambiri.
Pali mitundu ingapo yosunthika yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito m'njira zosiyanasiyana ndi amalonda. Chodziwika kwambiri ndi Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ndi Weighted Moving Average (WMA).
- The Simple Moving Average ndiye mtundu wofunikira kwambiri wosuntha. Zimawerengedwa potenga chiwerengero cha chiwerengero cha mitengo yam'mbuyomu. Mwachitsanzo, SMA ya nthawi 10 idzagwiritsa ntchito mfundo 10 zomaliza kuwerengera mtengo wosuntha wotsatira.
- The Exponential Moving Average ndi njira yosunthika kwambiri yomwe imapatsa kulemera kwazinthu zaposachedwa. Izi zimapangitsa kuti ikhale yomvera pakusintha kwamitengo kwaposachedwa kuposa Simple Moving Average.
- The Weighted Moving Average ndi yofanana ndi Exponential Moving Average, koma imapereka kulemera kochulukirapo ku mfundo zaposachedwa. Izi zimapangitsa kuti ikhale yomvera kwambiri pakusintha kwamitengo kwaposachedwa kuposa Exponential Moving Average.
Kusuntha kwapakati ndi chizindikiro chodziwika bwino chaukadaulo chifukwa ndikosavuta kumvetsetsa komanso kosavuta kugwiritsa ntchito. Zitha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuti zizindikiritse zomwe zikuchitika, komanso kuthandizira ndi kukana.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
Pakuwunika kwaukadaulo, kubweza kwa Fibonacci kumagwiritsidwa ntchito kuzindikira zomwe zingathandize komanso kukana. Kubweza kwa Fibonacci kumachokera ku lingaliro lakuti misika ibwereranso gawo lina lakusamuka isanapitirire koyambirira.
Magawo angapo a Fibonacci amagwiritsidwa ntchito pobwezeretsa, koma ambiri ndi 38.2%, 50%, ndi 61.8%. Ziwerengerozi zimachokera ku mndandanda wa Fibonacci, womwe ndi mndandanda wa manambala pomwe nambala iliyonse ndi chiŵerengero cha manambala awiri apitawo. Mwachitsanzo, mawonekedwe a Fibonacci motere: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765 XNUMX…
Monga mukuonera, 38.2% retracement mlingo adzakhala 21 (34-13), 50% mlingo adzakhala 34 (55-21), ndi 61.8% mlingo adzakhala 55 (89-34). Zobweza za Fibonacci zitha kugwiritsidwa ntchito pamsika uliwonse komanso nthawi iliyonse. Komabe, nthawi zambiri amagwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina zaumisiri kapena ma chart chart.
Kuphatikizidwa ndi zizindikiro zina zaumisiri, kubwereza kwa Fibonacci kungapereke digiri yapamwamba yolondola. Mwachitsanzo, ngati kubwereranso kwa Fibonacci kumaphatikizidwa ndi chithandizo kapena mlingo wotsutsa, kungapereke chizindikiro chodalirika.
Kuphatikiza apo, kubweza kwa Fibonacci kumatha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuzindikira zomwe zikuyembekezeka. Mwachitsanzo, ngati a katundu imabweretsanso 61.8% ya kusuntha kwam'mbuyomu, nthawi zambiri imawonedwa ngati chizindikiro kuti katunduyo angapitirire kutsika kuti afike pamlingo wina wa Fibonacci pa 100%.
Kubweza kwa Fibonacci ndi chida chofunikira kwa amalonda ndi osunga ndalama chimodzimodzi. Komabe, monga zizindikiro zonse zamakono, siziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito paokha. M'malo mwake, ziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina zaumisiri kapena ma chart kuti zitsimikizire kusuntha komwe kungachitike.
3. Relative Strength Index(RSI)
Relative Strength Index (RSI) ndi chizindikiro champhamvu chomwe chimangoyesa kukula kwa kusintha kwamitengo kuti mudziwe ngati katundu kapena katundu wina wagulidwa kapena kugulitsidwa.
RSI ikuwonetsedwa ngati oscillator ndipo katunduyo amaonedwa kuti ndi okwera mtengo kwambiri pamene RSI ikufika pa 70 kapena pamwamba, kutanthauza kuti yakhala ikukwera mofulumira kwambiri ndipo ikhoza kukhala chifukwa cha kukoka. Imawonedwa ngati yogulitsidwa kwambiri ikatsika pansi pa 30, kutanthauza kuti yakhala ikugwa mwachangu kwambiri ndipo ikhoza kukhala chifukwa chobwezanso.
RSI imawerengedwa pogwiritsa ntchito njira iyi:
RSI = 100 – 100/(1 + RS)
Kumene RS = Kupindula Kwapakati / Kutayika Kwapakati
RSI ikhoza kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika komanso zosintha zomwe zingatheke. Pamene RSI ili pamwamba pa 50, imasonyeza kuti katunduyo ali mu uptrend, ndipo pamene ali pansi pa 50, amasonyeza kuti katunduyo ali mu downtrend. RSI itha kugwiritsidwanso ntchito kuzindikira zinthu zogulira mochulukira komanso zogulitsa mopitilira muyeso. Pamene RSI ili pamwamba pa 70, imatengedwa kuti ndi yotsika mtengo, ndipo ikakhala pansi pa 30, imatengedwa kuti ndi yochuluka kwambiri.
RSI ndi chizindikiro chosunthika chomwe chingagwiritsidwe ntchito m'njira zingapo. Ndichizindikiro chodziwika pakati pa amalonda ndipo ndi chida chothandizira kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika, zogulitsa mochulukira komanso zogulitsa mopitilira muyeso, komanso zosintha zomwe zingasinthe.
4. Mabungwe a Bollinger
Wopangidwa ndi John Bollinger koyambirira kwa zaka za m'ma 1980, Magulu a Bollinger amayenera kuyeza kusakhazikika pamsika.
Magulu a Bollinger amakhala ndi magulu atatu:
- Gulu lapamwamba
- Gulu laling'ono
- A yachibadwa kusuntha pafupifupi pakati
Magulu apamwamba ndi apansi nthawi zambiri amakhala opatuka 2 kuchokera pagulu lapakati. Magulu a Bollinger atha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuyeza kuchulukirachulukira komanso kugulitsa mopitilira muyeso pamsika, komanso kugwira zomwe zingasinthe.
Lingaliro lalikulu kumbuyo kwa Magulu a Bollinger ndikuti mtengo umakonda kukhalabe m'magulu apamwamba komanso otsika panthawi yakusakhazikika, ndipo mtengowo umatuluka m'magulu munthawi yakusakhazikika kwambiri.
Magulu a Bollinger amatha kugwiritsidwa ntchito nthawi iliyonse, koma amagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri pama chart a tsiku ndi tsiku kapena sabata.
pansi Line
Ngati mukuganiza kuti mutha kugulitsa mosavuta pamsika uliwonse pogwiritsa ntchito kusanthula kwaukadaulo, mutha. Komabe, zida zonsezi ndi zizindikiro zinali mfundo chabe.
Pali zida zambiri ndi malingaliro omwe adawululidwabe. Chifukwa chake, ndikupangira kuti muphunzire zambiri pa izi ndikuzichita bwino pamaso panu aganyali ndalama zanu mu chirichonse.
Ngati mupeza kuti nkhaniyi ndi yothandiza ndipo mukufuna kudziwa zambiri za kusanthula kwaukadaulo, ikani ndemanga pansipa, ndipo ndipanga zina zambiri kuti zikuwongolereni. Mpaka pamenepo, pitirizani kuphunzira ndi kupitiriza kukula.
Siyani Mumakonda