Kana iwe uri mutsva kune nyika yekuongorora tekinoroji, saka ino ndiyo nzvimbo yakanaka yekutanga.
Pano, iwe unowana zvese zvaunoda kuziva kuti utange, kubva kune izvo zvekutanga zvechati kusvika kune mamwe epamusoro pfungwa senge zviratidzo.
Tekinoroji yekuongorora chishandiso chine simba chinogona kushandiswa kukubatsira kuita zvirinani-ruzivo rwekutengesa sarudzo.
Nekutora nguva yekudzidza nekuinzwisisa, iwe unogona kuzvipa iwe wega wega pamusika.
Saka, ngatitangei kutanga!
Chii chinonzi Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis ndiko kudzidza kwemisika yemari kunoenderana nenhoroondo yenhoroondo yakapihwa pachati. Chati iyi inogona kuve muchimiro chemutsara, chigadziko chemwenje, kana bhawa.
Nekubatsirwa kwekufamba kwemutengo uye huwandu, kuongororwa kwehunyanzvi kunoitwa kuti uone mikana inogona kuita yenguva pfupi uye kwenguva refu kuwana.
Vaongorori vehunyanzvi vanotenda kuti maitiro akaungana evose vatori vechikamu mumusika, kusanganisira vatengi nevatengesi, anosarudza mutengo. Ongororo yehunyanzvi inowanzo shandiswa kuona maitiro emitengo anogona kupa ruzivo rwekuti mutengo unonanga kupi.
Basic Terms of Technical Analysis
Ngatitangei nezvayo zvekutanga zveTekinoroji kuongororwa kuti ikubatsire kubata pamusoro payo tisati taenda kune mamwe mazwi epamberi.
1. Zvigadziko zvemwenje
Makenduru ndechimwe chezvishandiso zvakakurumbira zvinoshandiswa nehunyanzvi vanoongorora kuongorora musika. Izvo zviri nyore kuverenga uye zvinogona kupa hupfumi hweruzivo nezvemusika.
Makenduru anogadzirwa nekuronga mutengo wekuchengetedza panguva yakatarwa nguva. Chigadziko chekenduru chimwe nechimwe chinomiririra chiito chemutengo pane imwe nguva yenguva. Chigadziko chemwenje chinoumbwa nemuviri uye mimvuri miviri. Mutumbi unomiririra mitengo yakazaruka uye yakavharwa yenguva, nepo mimvuri inomiririra mitengo yakakwira uye yakaderera yenguva.
Chigadziko chemwenje chinogona kupa ruzivo rwakasiyana nezvemusika, kusanganisira kutungamira kwemaitiro, kusimba kwemaitiro, uye zvinogona kudzoserwa. Makenduru anogona kushandiswa mune chero nguva, kusanganisira awa, maawa mana, zuva rimwe, mwedzi mumwe, kana kunyange gore rimwe.
Kana iwe uchangotanga mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi, zvigadziko zvemwenje inzvimbo yakanaka yekutanga. Izvo zviri nyore kududzira uye zvinogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha nezvemusika.
2. Zvirongwa zveNguva
Kana zvasvika pakuongororwa kwehunyanzvi, chimwe chezvinhu zvinonyanya kukosha kufunga ndeye nguva yakatarwa. Izvi zvinodaro nekuti nguva dzakasiyana dzenguva dzinogona kupa ruzivo rwakasiyana. Semuenzaniso, chati yenguva refu inogona kukuratidza maitiro akazara, nepo chati yenguva pfupi inogona kukuratidza zvakanyanya mutengo wekuita.
Chimwe chezvinhu zvinonyanya kukosha kuyeuka ndechekuti haufanirwe kuvimba nekamwe-nguva furemu. Pane kudaro, iwe unofanirwa kutarisa akawanda nguva mafuremu kuti uwane mufananidzo wakazara. Semuenzaniso, unogona kutarisa chati yenguva refu kuti uone maitiro ese, wobva watarisa chati yenguva pfupi kuti utore nguva yekupinda kwako.
Iko hakuna "chaiyo" kana "chakaipa" nguva yakatarwa yekushandisa. Zvese zvinoenderana nemaitiro ako ekutengesa uye kuti ndeupi ruzivo rwauri kutsvaga. Vamwe vatengesi vanosarudza kushandisa machati enguva refu, nepo vamwe vachida machati enguva pfupi. Pakupedzisira, zviri kwauri kuti uedze nemafuremu akasiyana enguva uye uone zvinokuitira zvakanyanya.
3. Trend Lines
Mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi, mutsara wemaitiro mutsara wakatwasuka unobatanidza maviri kana anopfuura emitengo mapoinzi pane chati. Trend mitsetse inoshandiswa kuona mafambiro uye mafambiro ekuchinja.
Mitsetse yemaitiro inogona kukwira-inotsvedza ( bullish), yakadzika-inotsvedza (bearish), kana yakatwasuka ( flat). Mafambiro ekumusoro anotsanangurwa seakakwira akadzika uye akakwira, nepo downtrends achitsanangurwa seakaderera akaderera uye akaderera kumusoro. Horizontal trend mitsara inoshandiswa kuona tsigiro uye nhanho dzekuramba.
Trend mitsetse inogona kushandiswa chero nguva, asi inonyanya kubatsira pamafuremu akareba semazuva ese, vhiki nevhiki, kana pamwedzi machati sezvo achipa chiratidzo chakasimba uye kuderedza ruzha rwuripo mumafuremu enguva mapfupi.
Paunenge uchidhirowa mitsara yemaitiro, zvakakosha kushandisa akawanda mapoinzi emitengo sezvinobvira. Iyo yakawanda mitengo yemitengo yakabatana, iyo inonyanya kukosha iyo mutsara wemaitiro inova.
Kune marudzi maviri ematrend lines:
- Tsigiro uye kuramba maitiro mitsetse
- Kufamba pakati pemitsetse yemaitiro
Tsigiro uye kupikisa maitiro mitsara inodhonzwa nekubatanidza mutengo wakaderera mune uptrend uye mutengo wakakwira mune downtrend. Iyi mitsetse yemaitiro inoratidza nhanho iyo mitengo inogona kuwana rutsigiro kana kuramba.
Kufambisa avhareji mitsetse yemaitiro anogadzirwa nekuronga avhareji inofamba pane chati yemutengo. Iyi mitsetse yemaitiro inoratidza avhareji mutengo wechengetedzo pane imwe nguva yakatarwa. Tichazvikurukura zvakadzama mberi munyaya ino.
Trend mitsetse chishandiso chinobatsira kune vatengesi kuona mafambiro uye kuita sarudzo dzekutengesa. Nekudaro, zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti mitsetse yemaitiro haina kunyatso uye inofanira kushandiswa pamwe chete nezvimwe zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi.
4. Mapatani
Pane maitiro akasiyana-siyana anotariswa nevanoongorora zvehunyanzvi pavanenge vachiedza kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana. Mamwe emhando dzakakurumbira dzinosanganisira:
1. Musoro & Mafudzi
Iyi ndiyo nzira yekudzokera shure iyo inogadzirwa apo mutengo unoumba peak (musoro), uchiteverwa nepamusoro-soro (pafudzi rekuruboshwe), uyezve imwe yepamusoro (pafudzi rekurudyi). Ifudzi rekurudyi rinowanzodzika kudarika musoro, uye muenzaniso unofungidzirwa wakakwana apo mutengo unoputsika pasi pemutsipa.
2. Kaviri Pamusoro
Iyi ndiyo nzira yekudzosera inogadzirwa kana mutengo ukaita mikwidza miviri yakatevedzana, neyechipiri peak ichidzikira pane yekutanga. Iyo muenzaniso inoonekwa seyakakwana kana mutengo uchiputsika pazasi pemutsara wekutsigira wakagadzirwa neakakwirira maviri.
3. Double Bottom
Iyi ndiyo nzira yekudzokera shure inogadzirwa apo mutengo unoumba maitiro maviri akatevedzana, uye yechipiri yakaderera ichikwira kupfuura yekutanga. Iyo muenzaniso inoonekwa seyakakwana kana mutengo waputsika pamusoro pemutsara wekupokana wakagadzirwa neaviri akaderera.
4. Katatu Pamusoro
Iyi ndiyo nzira yekudzosera inogadzirwa kana mutengo ukaita mikwidza mitatu yakatevedzana, nepamusoro pechitatu ichidzikira pane maviri ekutanga. Iyo muenzaniso inoonekwa seyakakwana kana mutengo uchiputsika pazasi pemutsara wekutsigira wakagadzirwa neatatu akakwirira.
5. Triple Pazasi
Iyi ndiyo nzira yekudzosera iyo inogadzirwa kana mutengo ukaita matatu akateedzana akadzika, neyechitatu yakaderera ichikwira kupfuura maviri ekutanga. Iyo muenzaniso inoonekwa seyakakwana kana mutengo waputsika pamusoro pemutsara wekupokana wakagadzirwa nematatu akaderera.
Aya angori mashoma emhando dzakasiyana-siyana dzinotariswa nevanoongorora zvehunyanzvi pavanenge vachiedza kufanotaura mafambiro emitengo yeramangwana. Imwe neimwe pateni ine yayo seti yemitemo uye nhungamiro, uye zviri kumuongorori kuti aone kana pateni isingaite uye yakakodzera kutengeserana.
5. Mutengo & Volume
Mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi, mutengo uye vhoriyamu ndizvo zviviri zvakakosha zviratidzo zvemusika basa. Mutengo chiyero chekukosha kwekuchengetedzwa, nepo vhoriyamu chiyero chenhamba yemasheya anotengeswa.
Mutengo uye vhoriyamu zvinowanzoshandiswa pamwe chete kuona maitiro mumusika. Semuenzaniso, kana mutengo wekuchengetedza uchikwira uye vhoriyamu iri kuwedzera, inogona kunge iri chiratidzo chekuti musika uri bhizinesi pane chengetedzo. Sezvineiwo, kana mutengo uri kudonha uye vhoriyamu iri kuwedzera, inogona kunge iri chiratidzo chekuti musika uri bearish pane chengetedzo.
Vaongorori vehunyanzvi vanoshandisa nzira dzakasiyana siyana dzekuongorora mutengo uye data data. Mamwe maitiro akajairika anosanganisira kuongororwa kwemaitiro, tsigiro uye nhanho dzekupikisa, uye mavhareji ekufambisa.
Mutengo uye vhoriyamu data inogona kuwanikwa pane mazhinji mawebhusaiti emari. Mazhinji mabrokerage anopawo iyi data kune vatengi vavo.
Technical zviratidzi
Tekinoroji zviratidzo zvishandiso zvinoshandiswa nevatengesi kuongorora zvakapfuura uye zvazvino mutengo ruzivo uye kuita sarudzo dzekutengesa. Kune akawanda akasiyana marudzi ehunyanzvi zviratidzo, imwe neimwe ine simba rayo uye kushaya simba.
Ngatitarisei zvimwe zvinonyanya kufarirwa zviratidzo zvinoshandiswa nevatengesi vanoshanda uye vanoisa mari.
1. Kufamba Avhareji
Avhareji inofamba inobatsira kubvisa chiito chemutengo nekubvisa "ruzha" kubva mukushanduka kwemitengo. Icho chiratidzo chinoratidza maitiro ayo anobva pamitengo munguva yakapfuura.
Ivhareji inofamba inotarwa nekutora avhareji yeimwe nhamba yematengo apfuura, uye inoguma data point inozorongwa pane chati. Nhamba yemitengo yakapfuura yakashandiswa mukuverenga inozivikanwa senguva. Semuenzaniso, gumi-nguva yekufamba avhareji inoshandisa gumi yekupedzisira data mapoinzi kuverenga inotevera inofamba pakati kukosha.
Sezvinoratidzwa nezita racho, mavhareji ekufambisa "kufamba" nokuti anogara achiverengwa zvakare sezvo data itsva yemutengo inopinda. Ichi ndicho chikonzero kufambisa mavhareji anowanzoshandiswa kuratidza nzira yemaitiro. Kana mutengo uri pamusoro peavhareji inofamba, inowanzoonekwa seyakakwira, uye kana mutengo uri pasi peavhareji inofamba, inowanzoonekwa seyakadzika.
Kune mashoma akasiyana marudzi ekufamba maavhareji anoshandiswa nenzira dzakasiyana nevatengesi. Iyo inonyanya kuzivikanwa ndeye Nyore Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), uye Weighted Moving Average (WMA).
- Iyo Nyore Kufamba Avhareji ndiyo inonyanya kukosha mhando yekufamba pakati. Inoverengwa nekutora avhareji yeimwe nhamba yematengo apfuura. Semuyenzaniso, gumi-nguva SMA yaizoshandisa ekupedzisira gumi data mapoinzi kuverenga kunotevera kunofamba pakati kukosha.
- Iyo Exponential Moving Average ndiyo yakanyanyisa kufambiswa avhareji inopa huremu hwakawanda kune ichangoburwa data mapoinzi. Izvi zvinoita kuti iwedzere kuterera kune ichangoburwa mutengo shanduko pane iyo Nyore Kufamba Avhareji.
- Iyo Weighted Moving Avhareji yakafanana neExponential Moving Average, asi inopa huremu hwakatonyanya kune ichangoburwa data mapoinzi. Izvi zvinoita kuti iwedzere kuterera kune ichangoburwa mutengo shanduko pane iyo Exponential Moving Average.
Kufamba mavhareji chiratidzo chakakurumbira chekuongorora hunyanzvi nekuti zviri nyore kunzwisisa uye nyore kushandisa. Inogona kushandiswa kuona kutungamira kwemaitiro, pamwe nerutsigiro uye nhanho dzekupikisa.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
Mukuongorora kwehunyanzvi, Fibonacci retracements inoshandiswa kuona inogona kutsigirwa uye kuramba mazinga. Kudzokororwa kweFibonacci kwakavakirwa pane zano rekuti misika ichadzoreredza chikamu chekufamba isati yaenderera munzira yekutanga.
Mareshiyo akati wandei eFibonacci anoshandiswa mukudzoreredza, asi akajairika i38.2%, 50%, uye 61.8%. Mareshiyo aya anobva munhevedzano yeFibonacci, inova nhevedzano yenhamba apo nhamba imwe neimwe iri hwerengedzo yenhamba mbiri dzapfuura. Semuenzaniso, iyo Fibonacci sequence mafomu seizvi: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765...
Sezvauri kuona, iyo 38.2% yekudzosa nhanho yaizova 21 (34-13), iyo 50% nhanho yaizova 34 (55-21), uye iyo 61.8% nhanho ingadai iri makumi mashanu neshanu (55-89). Fibonacci's retracements inogona kushandiswa mune chero musika uye pane chero nguva. Nekudaro, iwo anonyanya kushandiswa pamwe chete nemamwe maratidziro ehunyanzvi kana mapatani emachati.
Kana yakasanganiswa nezvimwe zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi, Fibonacci retracements inogona kupa yakakwira dhigirii yekurongeka. Semuenzaniso, kana Fibonacci retracement yakasanganiswa nerutsigiro kana nhanho yekupikisa, inogona kupa chiratidzo chakavimbika.
Pamusoro pezvo, Fibonacci retracements inogona kushandiswa kuona zvingangove zvemitengo. Somuenzaniso, kana a unganidza inodzosa 61.8% yekufamba kwapfuura, inowanzoonekwa sechiratidzo chekuti stock inogona kuramba ichidzika yakaderera kusvika padanho rinotevera reFibonacci pa100%.
Fibonacci's retracements chishandiso chakakosha kune vatengesi uye vanoisa mari zvakafanana. Nekudaro, senge zvese zviratidzo zvehunyanzvi, hazvifanirwe kushandiswa mukuzvimiririra. Pane kudaro, dzinofanirwa kushandiswa pamwe chete nemamwe maratidziro ehunyanzvi kana mapatani emachati kuti asimbise kufamba kunogona kuitika.
3. Relative Strength Index(RSI)
Iyo Relative Strength Index (RSI) chiratidzo chakasimba chekukurumidza chinongoyera ukuru hwekuchinja kwemitengo kuona kana stock kana imwe asset yakawandisa kana kutengeswa.
Iyo RSI inoratidzwa senge oscillator uye iyo asset inoonekwa seyakawandisa kana iyo RSI yasvika makumi manomwe kana pamusoro, zvichireva kuti yanga ichikwira nekukasira uye inogona kunge yakakonzerwa nekudhonzwa. Inoonekwa seyakawandisa kana ichidonha pazasi makumi matatu, zvichireva kuti yanga ichidonha nekukurumidza uye inogona kunge iri nekuda kwekudzokororwa.
Iyo RSI inoverengerwa uchishandisa inotevera fomula:
RSI = 100 - 100/(1 + RS)
Iko RS = Avhareji Gain / Avhareji Kurasikirwa
Iyo RSI inogona kushandiswa kuona mafambiro akajairwa pamwe neanogona kuchinjika. Kana iyo RSI iri pamusoro pe50, inoratidza kuti iyo asset iri muuptrend, uye kana iri pasi pe50, inoratidza kuti iyo asset iri mu downtrend. Iyo RSI inogona zvakare kushandiswa kuona overbought uye oversold mamiriro. Kana iyo RSI iri pamusoro pemakumi manomwe, inoonekwa seyakatengwa zvakanyanya, uye kana iri pazasi makumi matatu, inoonekwa seyakatengeswa.
Iyo RSI chiratidzo chakasiyana-siyana chinogona kushandiswa nenzira dzakasiyana siyana. Icho chiratidzo chakakurumbira pakati pevatengesi uye chishandiso chinobatsira chekuziva mafambiro, overbought uye oversold mamiriro, uye zvinogona kudzoserwa.
4. Bollinger Zvikwata
Yakagadzirwa naJohn Bollinger mukutanga 1980s, Bollinger Mabhendi anoitirwa kuyera kusagadzikana mumusika.
Bollinger Bands ine mabhendi matatu:
- Bhandi repamusoro
- Bhendi rezasi
- A yakajairika kufamba pakati
Iwo ekumusoro neazasi mabhendi anowanzo 2 akajairwa kutsauka kubva kune yepakati bhendi. Bollinger Mabhendi anogona kushandiswa kuyera overbought uye oversold mamiriro pamusika, pamwe nekubata zvingangoitika maitiro ekuchinja.
Pfungwa huru kuseri kweBollinger Bands ndeyekuti mutengo unowanzogara mukati mekumusoro uye pasi mabhendi panguva yekuderera kwekusagadzikana, uye mutengo iwoyo unoputika kubva mumabhandi panguva dzekusagadzikana kwakanyanya.
Mabhendi eBollinger anogona kushandiswa chero nguva, asi anonyanya kushandiswa pamachati ezuva nezuva kana evhiki.
Bottom Line
Kana iwe uchifunga kuti iwe unogona kutengesa nyore mune chero musika uchishandisa hunyanzvi ongororo, unogona. Nekudaro, zvese izvi maturusi nezviratidzo zvaingova fungidziro yacho.
Kune akawanda maturusi uye pfungwa dzichiri kufukunurwa. Nekudaro, ini ndingakurudzira kuti udzidze zvakawanda pane izvi uye kuzvidzidzira zvakakwana pamberi pako shandisa mari mari yako mune chero chinhu.
Kana iwe ukawana chinyorwa ichi chinobatsira uye uchida kudzidza zvakawanda nezve hunyanzvi hwekuongorora, donhedza chirevo pazasi, uye ini ndichagadzira zvimwe zvidimbu zvakadaro kuti zvikutungamirire. Kusvikira panguva iyoyo, ramba uchidzidza uye ramba uchikura.
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