Ukuba umtsha kwihlabathi lohlalutyo lobuchwephesha, ke le yeyona ndawo ifanelekileyo ukuqala.
Apha, uya kufumana yonke into oyifunayo ukuze uqalise, ukusuka kwiziseko zetshathi ukuya kwiikhonsepthi eziphambili njengezalathi.
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha sisixhobo esinamandla esinokusetyenziselwa ukukunceda wenze izigqibo zokurhweba ezinolwazi olungcono.
Ngokuthatha ixesha lokufunda kunye nokuyiqonda, unokunika i-edge yangempela kwimarike.
Ngoko, masiqale!
Yintoni Uhlalutyo lobuGcisa?
Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha luphononongo lweemarike zemali ezisekelwe kwidatha yembali eboniswe kwitshathi. Le tshati inokuba kwimo yomgca, isiphatho sesibane, okanye ibha.
Ngoncedo lokuhamba kwexabiso kunye nomthamo, uhlalutyo lobugcisa luqhutyelwa ukuchonga amathuba anokuthi enze iinzuzo zexesha elifutshane kunye nexesha elide.
Abahlalutyi bezobugcisa bakholelwa ukuba ukuziphatha okuhlangeneyo kwabo bonke abathathi-nxaxheba kwiimarike, kubandakanywa abathengi kunye nabathengisi, banquma ixabiso. Uhlalutyo lobuchwephesha luhlala lusetyenziselwa ukuchonga iipateni zexabiso ezinokubonelela ngeengcebiso malunga nokuba ixabiso lisingise phi.
ImiGaqo eSisiseko yoHlalutyo lobuGcisa
Masiqale ngezona zinto zisisiseko zohlalutyo lobuchwephesha ukukunceda ukuba ubambelele kuyo phambi kokuba siqhubele phambili kwimiqathango ethile.
1. Iziphatho zezibane
Amakhandlela sesinye sezixhobo ezidumileyo ezisetyenziswa ngabahlalutyi bezobugcisa ukuvavanya imarike. Zifundeka lula kwaye zinokubonelela ngobutyebi bolwazi malunga nemarike.
Amakhandlela adalwe ngokucwangcisa ixabiso lezokhuseleko ngamaxesha athile. Ikhandlela ngalinye limele isenzo sexabiso kwixesha elithile. Isibane senziwe ngumzimba kunye nezithunzi ezimbini. Umzimba ubonisa amaxabiso avulekileyo navaliweyo ngeli xesha, ngelixa izithunzi zibonisa amaxabiso aphezulu kunye aphantsi ngeli xesha.
Ikhandlela liyakwazi ukubonelela ngolwazi oluninzi malunga nemarike, kubandakanywa ulwalathiso lwendlela, amandla omzila, kunye nokuguqulwa okunokwenzeka. Iziphatho zamakhandlela zinokusetyenziswa kulo naliphi na ixesha, kubandakanywa iyure, iiyure ezine, usuku olunye, inyanga enye, okanye unyaka omnye.
Ukuba usaqala kuhlalutyo lobuchwephesha, iikhandlela ziyindawo entle yokuqala. Zilula ukuzitolika kwaye zinokunika ulwazi oluxabisekileyo malunga nemarike.
2. Amaxesha amisiweyo
Xa kuziwa kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, enye yezona zinto zibalulekileyo ekufuneka ziqwalaselwe lixesha. Oku kungenxa yokuba amaxesha ahlukeneyo anokubonelela ngolwazi olwahlukileyo. Umzekelo, itshati yexesha elide inokukubonisa iindlela ezipheleleyo, ngelixa itshati yexesha elifutshane lingakubonisa inyathelo lexabiso elikhawulezayo.
Enye yezona zinto zibalulekileyo ekufuneka uzikhumbule kukuba ungaze uthembele kwisakhelo sexesha elinye. Endaweni yoko, kuya kufuneka ujonge iifreyimu zamaxesha amaninzi ukuze ufumane umfanekiso opheleleyo. Ngokomzekelo, unokujonga itshathi yexesha elide ukuchonga intsingiselo epheleleyo, kwaye ujonge itshathi yexesha elifutshane ukujonga ixesha lokungena kwakho.
Akukho xesha "lilungileyo" okanye "elingalunganga" lokusebenzisa. Konke kuxhomekeke kwisitayile sakho sokurhweba kwaye loluphi ulwazi olufunayo. Abanye abathengisi bakhetha ukusebenzisa iitshathi zexesha elide, ngelixa abanye bekhetha iitshati zexesha elifutshane. Ekugqibeleni, kukuwe ukuba uvavanye ngamaxesha ahlukeneyo kwaye ubone oko kusebenza kakuhle kuwe.
3. Imigca yokuhamba
Kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, umgca wokuhamba umgca ochanekileyo odibanisa amanqaku amabini okanye ngaphezulu kwexabiso kwitshathi. Imigca ehambayo isetyenziselwa ukuchonga iintsingiselo kunye nohlengahlengiso.
Imigca yomzila ingaba phezulu-i-sloping ( bullish), i-downward-sloping ( bearish), okanye i-horizontal ( flat). Iindlela ezinyukayo zichazwa njengezinto ezisezantsi kunye neziphezulu eziphezulu, ngelixa i-downtrends ichazwa njengephantsi kunye nephezulu ephantsi. Imigca yendlela ethe tyaba isetyenziselwa ukuchonga amanqanaba enkxaso kunye nokumelana.
Imigca ehambayo ingasetyenziswa nakweliphi na ixesha, kodwa iluncedo kakhulu kwizakhelo zexesha elide njengeetshathi zemihla ngemihla, ngeveki, okanye zenyanga njengoko zinika umqondiso oqinileyo kwaye zinciphisa ingxolo ekhoyo kwixesha elifutshane lezakhelo.
Xa udweba imigca yeendlela, kubalulekile ukusebenzisa amanqaku amaninzi kangangoko kunokwenzeka. Amanqaku amaxabiso angaphezulu adityanisiweyo, kokukhona kubaluleke ngakumbi umgca wentsingiselo.
Kukho iindidi ezimbini zemigca yentsingiselo:
- Inkxaso kunye nemigca yendlela yokuxhathisa
- Imigca yesiqhelo ehambayo
Imigqaliselo yenkxaso kunye nokuchasana itsalwa ngokudibanisa ixabiso eliphantsi kwi-uptrend kunye nexabiso eliphezulu kwi-downtrend. Le migca yentsingiselo ibonisa inqanaba apho amaxabiso anokuthi afumane inkxaso okanye ukuxhathisa.
Imigca yesiqhelo ehambayo yenziwa ngokucwangcisa umyinge ohambahambayo kwitshati yexabiso. Le migca yentsingiselo ibonisa ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lokhuseleko kwixesha elithile. Siza kuxoxa ngayo ngokweenkcukacha ngaphambili kweli nqaku.
Imigca yomzila sisixhobo esiluncedo kubarhwebi ukuchonga iintsingiselo kunye nokwenza izigqibo zokurhweba. Nangona kunjalo, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuba imigca yomzila ayichanekanga kwaye kufuneka isetyenziswe ngokubambisana nezinye izikhombisi zobugcisa.
4. Iipateni
Kukho iindidi zeepatheni ezijongwa ngabahlalutyi bezobugcisa xa bezama ukuqikelela ukuhamba kwexabiso elizayo. Ezinye zeepateni ezidumileyo ziquka:
1. Intloko & namagxa
Lo mzekelo wokubuyisela umva owenziwe xa ixabiso lenza i-peak (intloko), ilandelwa ngumgangatho ophantsi (ihlombe lasekhohlo), kunye nenye incopho (igxalaba lasekunene). Ihlombe lasekunene lidla ngokuba ngaphantsi kwentloko, kwaye iphethini ithathwa njengepheleleyo xa ixabiso liphuka ngaphantsi kwe-neckline.
2. Kabini phezulu
Le yipateni yokubuyisela umva eyenziwa xa ixabiso lenza iincopho ezimbini ezilandelelanayo, kunye nencopho yesibini ingaphantsi kuneyokuqala. Ipatheni ithathwa njengento epheleleyo xa ixabiso liphuka ngaphantsi komgca wenkxaso owenziwe ngamabini aphezulu.
3. Phantsi kabini
Lo mzekelo wokubuyisela umva owenziwe xa ixabiso lenza ii-lows ezimbini ezilandelelanayo, kunye nesibini esiphantsi siphezulu kunokuqala. Ipatheni ithathwa njengento epheleleyo xa ixabiso liqhekeza ngaphezu komgca wokumelana owenziwe ngamabini amabini.
4. Kathathu phezulu
Le yipateni yokubuyisela umva eyenziwa xa ixabiso lenza iincopho ezintathu ezilandelelanayo, kunye nencopho yesithathu ingaphantsi kunezimbini zokuqala. Ipatheni ithathwa njengento epheleleyo xa ixabiso liphuka ngaphantsi komgca wenkxaso owenziwe ngamathathu aphezulu.
5. Emazantsi amathathu
Le yipatheni yokubuyisela umva eyenziwa xa ixabiso lenza ukuhla okuthathu okulandelelanayo, kunye nesithathu esiphantsi siphezulu kunesibini sokuqala. Ipatheni ithathwa njengento epheleleyo xa ixabiso liqhekeza ngaphezu komgca wokuchasana owenziwe ngamathathu aphantsi.
Ezi zimbalwa zeepateni ezininzi ezahlukeneyo ezijongwa ngabahlalutyi bezobugcisa xa bezama ukuqikelela ukuhamba kwexabiso elizayo. Iphethini nganye inemithetho yayo kunye nezikhokelo, kwaye kuya kumhlalutyi ukuba anqume ukuba ingaba iphethini ivumelekile kwaye ifanelekile ukurhweba.
5. Ixabiso kunye nomthamo
Kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, ixabiso kunye nomthamo zimbini zezona zibonakaliso ezibalulekileyo zomsebenzi wemarike. Ixabiso ngumlinganiselo wexabiso lokhuseleko, ngelixa umthamo ngumlinganiselo wenani lezabelo ezithengiswayo.
Ixabiso kunye nomthamo zidla ngokusetyenziswa kunye ukuchonga iintsingiselo kwimarike. Ngokomzekelo, ukuba ixabiso lokhuseleko likhuphuka kwaye ivolumu iyanda, ingaba ngumqondiso wokuba imarike i-bullish kukhuseleko. Ngokwahlukileyo, ukuba ixabiso liwela kwaye umthamo uyanda, ingaba ngumqondiso wokuba imarike i-bearish kukhuseleko.
Abahlalutyi bezobugcisa basebenzisa iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokuhlalutya ixabiso kunye nedatha yevolumu. Ezinye iindlela eziqhelekileyo zibandakanya uhlalutyo lwentsingiselo, amanqanaba enkxaso kunye nokumelana, kunye nemilinganiselo ehambayo.
Ixabiso kunye nedatha yevolumu inokufumaneka kwiiwebhusayithi ezininzi zemali. Iibrokerage ezininzi zibonelela ngale datha kubathengi babo.
Indicators Technical
Iimpawu zobuchwephesha zizixhobo ezisetyenziswa ngabahwebi ukuvavanya ulwazi lwexabiso elidlulileyo kunye nelangoku kunye nokwenza izigqibo zokurhweba. Kukho iintlobo ezininzi zezalathisi zobugcisa, nganye inamandla kunye nobuthathaka bayo.
Makhe sijonge ezinye zezalathisi ezidumileyo ezisetyenziswa ngabarhwebi abasebenzayo kunye nabatyali-mali.
1. I-Avareji ehambayo
Umyinge ohambahambayo unceda ukucacisa isenzo samaxabiso ngokususa "ingxolo" ekuguquguqukeni kwexabiso okungafunekiyo. Sisalathisi esibonisa iintsingiselo ezisekelwe kumaxabiso kwixesha elidlulileyo.
Umyinge ohambahambayo ubalwa ngokuthatha umyinge wenani elithile lamaxabiso adlulileyo, kwaye inqaku ledatha elibangelwayo licwangciswe kwitshathi. Inani lamaxabiso adlulileyo asetyenziswe ekubaleni laziwa ngokuba lixesha. Umzekelo, i-avareji ye-10-period ehambayo isebenzisa i-10 yokugqibela amanqaku edatha ukubala ixabiso elilandelayo elihambayo.
Njengoko igama libonisa, i-avareji ezihambayo "zihamba" kuba zihlala zibalwe kwakhona njengoko idatha entsha yexabiso ingena. Kungenxa yoko le nto i-avareji ehambayo isoloko isetyenziselwa ukuchonga isalathiso sendlela. Xa ixabiso lingaphezulu kwe-avareji ehambayo, ngokuqhelekileyo ithathwa njenge-uptrend, kwaye xa ixabiso lingaphantsi kwe-avareji ehambayo, ngokuqhelekileyo ithathwa njenge-downtrend.
Kukho iintlobo ezimbalwa ezahlukeneyo zee-avareji ezihambayo ezisetyenziswa ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo ngabahwebi. Eyona nto ixhaphakileyo yiSimple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), kunye neWeighted Moving Average (WMA).
- I-Avareji yokuHamba oluLula lolona hlobo lusisiseko lwe-avareji ehambayo. Ibalwa ngokuthatha umyinge wenani elithile lamaxabiso adlulileyo. Umzekelo, i-SMA yexesha eli-10 ingasebenzisa amanqaku edatha ali-10 ukubala umndilili ohambayo olandelayo.
- I-Exponential Moving Average yi-avareji ehamba phambili ephucukileyo enika ubunzima obungakumbi kumanqaku edatha yakutshanje. Oku kuyenza iphendule ngakumbi kutshintsho lwamaxabiso lwamva nje kunoMndilili wokuHamba oLula.
- I-Weighted Moving Average iyafana ne-Exponential Moving Average, kodwa inika ubunzima obungakumbi kumanqaku edatha yakutshanje. Oku kuyenza iphendule ngakumbi kutshintsho lwamaxabiso lwakutsha nje kunoMndilili wokuMoving Exponential.
I-avareji ezihambayo zisalathiso sohlalutyo lobuchwephesha elidumileyo kuba kulula ukuyiqonda kwaye kulula ukuyisebenzisa. Zingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga isalathiso somkhwa, kunye nenkxaso kunye namanqanaba okumelana.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
Kuhlalutyo lobugcisa, ukubuyiswa kweFibonacci kusetyenziselwa ukuchonga amanqanaba okuxhasa kunye nokuchasana. Ukubuyiswa kweFibonacci kusekelwe kwingcamango yokuba iimarike ziya kuphinda zilandele inxalenye yentshukumo ngaphambi kokuqhubeka kwindlela yokuqala.
Imilinganiselo emininzi yeFibonacci isetyenziswe ekubuyiseleni, kodwa eyona nto ixhaphakileyo yi-38.2%, 50%, kunye ne-61.8%. Le milinganiselo ithathwe kulandelelwano lweFibonacci, oluluthotho lwamanani apho inani ngalinye lisisixa samanani amabini adlulileyo. Umzekelo, iifom zokulandelelana kweFibonacci ngolu hlobo: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765...
Njengoko ubona, inqanaba lokubuyisela i-38.2% liya kuba ngama-21 (34-13), inqanaba le-50% liya kuba ngu-34 (55-21), kwaye i-61.8% iya kuba yi-55 (89-34). Ukubuyiselwa kweFibonacci kunokusetyenziswa kuyo nayiphi na imarike kunye nakweliphi na ixesha. Nangona kunjalo, zisetyenziswa ngokuqhelekileyo ngokubambisana nezinye izalathisi zobugcisa okanye iipatheni zeetshathi.
Xa kudibaniswa nezinye izibonakaliso zobugcisa, ukubuyiswa kweFibonacci kunokubonelela ngezinga eliphezulu lokuchaneka. Ngokomzekelo, ukuba i-retracement ye-Fibonacci idibaniswe nenkxaso okanye inqanaba lokumelana, inokubonelela ngomqondiso othembekileyo.
Ukongeza, ukubuyiswa kweFibonacci kungasetyenziselwa ukuchonga iithagethi ezinokuthi zibekho. Umzekelo, ukuba a impahla ibuyisela i-61.8% yentshukumo yangaphambili, ihlala ithathwa njengophawu lokuba isitokhwe sinokuqhubeka sihamba sisezantsi ukuya kwinqanaba elilandelayo leFibonacci kwi-100%.
Ukubuyiselwa kweFibonacci sisixhobo esixabisekileyo kubarhwebi kunye nabatyali-mali ngokufanayo. Nangona kunjalo, njengazo zonke izalathisi zobugcisa, akufanele zisetyenziswe zodwa. Kunoko, kufuneka zisetyenziswe ngokubambisana nezinye izalathisi zobugcisa okanye iipatheni zeetshathi zokuqinisekisa ukuhamba okunokwenzeka.
3. Isalathiso Samandla Esizalanayo (RSI)
I-Relative Strength Index (RSI) sisalathisi esinamandla esilinganisa nje ubukhulu beenguqu zexabiso ukugqiba ukuba isitokhwe okanye enye i-asethi ithengwa kakhulu okanye ithengiswa kakhulu.
I-RSI iboniswa njenge-oscillator kwaye i-asethi ithathwa njenge-overbought xa i-RSI ifikelela kwi-70 okanye ngaphezulu, oku kuthetha ukuba iye yaphakama ngokukhawuleza kwaye ingaba ngenxa ye-pullback. Ithathwa njengethengiswe kakhulu xa iwela ngaphantsi kwe-30, okuthetha ukuba iye yawa ngokukhawuleza kakhulu kwaye inokuba ngenxa yokuphindaphinda.
I-RSI ibalwa kusetyenziswa le fomyula ilandelayo:
RSI = 100 – 100/(1 + RS)
Apho RS = Inzuzo engumndilili / ilahleko engumndilili
I-RSI ingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga iindlela eziqhelekileyo kunye nokuguqulwa okunokwenzeka. Xa i-RSI ingaphezulu kwe-50, ibonisa ukuba i-asethi ikwi-uptrend, kwaye xa ingaphantsi kwe-50, ibonisa ukuba i-asethi ikwi-downtrend. I-RSI ingasetyenziselwa ukuchonga iimeko ezithengwe ngokugqithisileyo kunye nezithengiswe ngokugqithisileyo. Xa i-RSI ingaphezulu kwe-70, ithathwa njengexabiso elithe kratya, kwaye xa lingaphantsi kwe-30, libhekwa njengelithengisiweyo.
I-RSI isalathisi esisebenzayo esinokusetyenziswa ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo. Sisalathiso esidumileyo phakathi kwabarhwebi kwaye sisixhobo esiluncedo sokuchonga iintsingiselo, iimeko ezithengisiweyo kunye nezithengiswe kakhulu, kunye nokuguqulwa okunokwenzeka.
4. IiBollinger Bands
Eyilwe nguJohn Bollinger ekuqaleni kweminyaka yee-1980, iiBollinger Bands zenzelwe ukulinganisa ukuguquguquka kweemarike.
Iibhendi zeBollinger zibandakanya amaqela amathathu:
- Ibhendi ephezulu
- Ibhendi esezantsi
- Umyinge ohambahambayo oqhelekileyo phakathi
Amabhanti aphezulu nasezantsi aqhelekile ukuba yi-2 yophambuko oluqhelekileyo kude nebhendi ephakathi. Iibhendi zeBollinger zingasetyenziselwa ukulinganisa iimeko ezithengiswe kakhulu kunye neentengiso ezithengisiweyo kwiimarike, kunye nokubamba ukuguqulwa kwezinto ezinokubakho.
Ingcamango ephambili emva kweeBollinger Bands kukuba ixabiso lihlala lihlala ngaphakathi kwinqanaba eliphezulu nelisezantsi ngexesha lokuguquguquka okuphantsi, kwaye elo xabiso liphuma kwiibhendi ngexesha lokunyuka okuphezulu.
Iibhendi zeBollinger zingasetyenziswa nangaliphi na ixesha, kodwa zisetyenziswa ngokuqhelekileyo kwiitshathi zemihla ngemihla okanye ngeveki.
Okukwintsusa
Ukuba ucinga ukuba unokurhweba ngokulula kuyo nayiphi na imarike usebenzisa uhlalutyo lobugcisa, unako. Nangona kunjalo, zonke ezi zixhobo kunye nezalathi zazingumxholo nje wayo.
Zininzi izixhobo kunye neekhonsepthi ezingekatyhilwa. Ke ngoko, ndingacebisa ukuba ufunde ngakumbi malunga noku kwaye uziqhelise ngokucokisekileyo phambi kwakho tyala imali imali yakho kuyo nantoni na.
Ukuba ufumana eli nqaku liluncedo kwaye ufuna ukufunda ngakumbi malunga nohlalutyo lobuchwephesha, lahla uluvo olungezantsi, kwaye ndiya kwenza ezinye iziqwenga ezinje ukukukhokela. Kude kube ngoko, qhubeka ufunda kwaye uqhubeke ukhula.
Shiya iMpendulo