Intengo yeBitcoin yehle yaya ku-$25k, izinga eselike yalithinta okokuqala eminyakeni emibili. I-Coinbase, inkundla yokushintshanisa imali ye-crypto edumile yehle ngenani.
Uhlamvu lwemali oluzinzile esikhaleni se-crypto luphahlazeke ngo-90%.
Izimakethe zamasheya emhlabeni wonke zibike cishe ukulahleka kwezigidigidi eziyi-11 zamaRandi, okuholele ekulimaleni okukhulu kusukela ngenhlekelele yezimali yango-2008. Kodwa kungani?
Sizodiliza iqiniso eliyisisekelo lezimakethe ze-Crypto, kungani kwenzeka ukuphahlazeka, futhi yini okufanele siyilindele esikhathini esizayo. Ngakho hlala uzungeze ukuze uthole.
Izinto Zokuqala Okokuqala: Kungani I-Crypto Iphahlazeka?
Ukuhlaziya imakethe yempahla akulona ucezu lwekhekhe. Wonke uchwepheshe unokuhlaziya okuyingqayizivele. Ngizokuchazela lesi simo semakethe ngedatha yomlando kanye nesimo samanje emhlabeni jikelele.
Nazi izizathu ezi-4 eziphezulu ngemuva kokuwa kwe-crypto kwamanje.
1. I-Inflation Ilapha
Ishadi le-Inflation yase-US
Ishadi elingenhla libonisa ngokucacile ukukhuphuka kwamandla emali e-United States. Yebo, ukwehla kwamandla emali sekufinyelele phezulu kakhulu ezweni kusukela ekushayekeni kwe-2008, futhi kubhidliza ngokusobala imakethe ye-crypto.
Ake ngikuchazele ukuthi kanjani:
Njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kukhula, izimpahla ziyabiza futhi amandla okuthenga abantu aye ehla. Lokhu kusho nokuthi inani lemali liyehla. Ngenxa yalokhu, ukwehla kwamandla emali kuthinta ngokuqondile ukubaluleka kwayo.
Ngezansi, ungabona ukuthi i-US Dollar Index ithinte kanjani ukuphakama okusha ezikhathini zakamuva.
Ishadi le-US Dollar Index
Leli shadi limele umnyakazo kanye nokugqashuka(ukuphula indawo yokumelana eqinile) kwe-US Dollar Index.
Ungabona nokuthi iBull Run yemakethe ye-crypto yaqala kanjani njengoba inkomba ye-DXY iqala ukwehla. Ngokuyisisekelo, kusho ukuthi abantu batshala imali yabo kuma-cryptocurrencies esikhundleni se-fiat, okuholela ekuweni kweDola laseMelika.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, njengoba inkomba ye-DXY iqala ukuhlehla, yaletha ukuphahlazeka okuningi emakethe ye-crypto, yaphinde yafakazela ukuthi inkomba yeDola laseMelika kanye ne-Bitcoin kuhlobene.
Njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kuhlasela futhi abantu babonakala belahlekelwa yimali yabo, iDola laseMelika lephule ukumelana okukhulu ukuze lifinyelele amanani aphezulu amasha. Bheka ishadi elingezansi ukuze ubone ukuthi izimakethe zase-US ziphahlazeke kanjani ngenxa yale micimbi.
Ishadi le-S & P 500
Leli shadi libonisa ukuthi izimakethe zase-US zibhekane kanjani ne-hyperinflation. Ukuwa kwemakethe yamasheya kuveza ngokucacile imizwa yemakethe yamanje yokwesaba phakathi kwabatshalizimali nabadayisi bezitolo. Ngokufanayo, ingcindezi yokuthengisa eqinile ibonakale ezimakethe ze-crypto ngenxa yokukhuphuka kwamandla emali.
2. Imithethonqubo ye-Cryptocurrency
Izinguquko zakamuva ekulawuleni imali eyimfihlo zidale umsindo omkhulu (hhayi i-TBH engathandeki kangako) phakathi kwabantu. Ekuqaleni kwemicimbi, amazwe amaningi amemezele intela enzima kuzo zonke izimpahla zedijithali.
I-Italy yamemezela ukuthi ukudluliswa kwe-cryptocurrensets kusuka ekuhwebeni noma ngisho nokudluliswa kwe-cryptocurrencies ku-fiat currencies kuzoba nesibopho sentela ehlukile engu-26%. I-France imemezele intela enkulu yama-55%. (Sikufisela inhlanhla kubo bonke abafundi bethu besiFulentshi.)
Ngokufanayo, i-India nayo ilethe imithethonqubo emikhulu njengoba wonke ama-cryptocurrencies azokhokhiswa intela engu-30% ekwenzeni imali ngokudlulisela zezimali zedijithali. Uhulumeni wase-India uze wanquma ukukhokhisa abasebenzisi intela kungakhathaliseki ukuthi bangaki ukulahlekelwa noma izindleko abazithole ngaphambi kokukhiqiza imali engenayo.
Lokhu kuphinde kwaletha iFUD eningi (Fear Uncertainty, and Doubt) emakethe njengoba lesi sinyathelo sithathwa njengobugovu kakhulu mayelana nokuhlomula kwabantu. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi uhulumeni kufanele amele abantu kanye nabantu.
Nokho, ukumemezela intela esindayo enjalo on inzuzo ye-crypto kungakhathaliseki ukulahlekelwa kwenza abantu besabe ukuthi uhulumeni umelene nabo ngokwepolitiki ekusebenziseni imali eyimfihlo.
3. Ukuvinjelwa kanye Nokwephulwa Kwezokuphepha
Njengokungathi imithetho ehlala iqinile yayinganele ukuthi isikhala se-crypto silahlekelwe ngokuqhubekayo, uchungechunge lwezindaba nezibuyekezo zithinta izimakethe kakhulu.
I-China yaphinde yavimbela izimali zedijithali, izibiza ngokuthi "imisebenzi yezezimali engekho emthethweni" (ngokwezwi nezwi ngesikhathi se-1000). Lokhu kuhlasele umhlaba wonke njengoba iChina inabatshalizimali abaningi abakhuthele nabahwebi futhi ngokuyinhloko iyisizinda sezimayini ze-bitcoin.
Ukuvinjelwa kwazo zonke izinsiza zezimayini ze-bitcoin e-China nakho kwaletha izinxushunxushu eziningi emakethe. Ekuqaleni kuka-2022, inethiwekhi yokudlala ye-NFT edumile U-Ronin ubike ukulahlekelwa cishe kwezigidi ezingu-600 zamaRandi ngenxa yegebengu eliphule inethiwekhi yabo, okuvele kwaba ukugebenga kwe-crypto kwesibili ngobukhulu kwezake zatholakala.
Okunye okudumile i-crypto exchange, I-Crypto.com nayo ibike lokho abaduni bathengise cishe amaRandi ayizigidi ezingu-30 kusuka kumawallet ekhasimende.
Yonke le micimbi ibilokhu inyusa intengo yeBitcoin nawo wonke ama-Alts emakethe.
4. I-FUD(Ukwesaba, Ukungaqiniseki, Ukungabaza)
I-FUD isithathe imakethe ye-crypto, yebo futhi. Izinto beziqala ukuba ngokwejwayelekile ngemuva kwalolu bhubhane lapho iRussia ithatha isinqumo sokuhlasela i-Ukraine futhi yonakalise izimakethe zezimali. Phakathi nempi, kwakukhona ingcindezi enkulu yokuthengisa evela eRussia eyakhulisa ukwehla kweBitcoin.
Ukwengeza kulokho, i- ukuphahlazeka kwe-Terra's Luna kanye ne-UST kuthinte ukwethembeka kwazo zonke izimali zedijithali. Lezi zenzakalo zenze abantu bacophelela kangangokuthi I-Fear and Greed Index (inkomba ebonisa imizwa iyonke yabantu abahlanganyela emakethe.
Isikhathi Esijwayelekile-Thengisa NgoMeyi Hamba
Uma unolwazi oluthile ngezimakethe zamasheya, kufanele ujwayele leli gama. “Thengisa ngoMeyi hamba” kusho ukuthi kufanele udayise yonke imali oyitshalile ngenyanga kaMeyi.
Lo mbono usekelwe eqinisweni lokuthi izimakethe zamasheya zomhlaba wonke zenza kancane kancane kusukela ngoMeyi kuya ku-Okthoba, futhi njengoba imakethe ye-crypto nayo ihlobene nemakethe yamasheya, imiphumela ingabonakala nalapha.
Lokhu kulahlwa emakethe ye-crypto kubonakala kuphelelwe isikhathi, njengoba kungene ekwindla yamahhala ekuqaleni kukaMeyi uqobo.
Ingabe Lokhu Kungokwemvelo?
Uma uyinyoni yokuqala engena kule makethe ngemuva kuka-2020, usibonile isikhathi esihle se-crypto-verse. Tshala noma iyiphi imali nganoma yisiphi isikhathi futhi uthole imbuyiselo eqinisekile! Yini i-lifehack, huh?
Awu, unephutha. Okade ukubonile kwakuwukugijima kwenkunzi okucacile okwamanje. Futhi empeleni, ngemva kokugijima kwenkunzi, kuba nemakethe yamabhere ewumqansa. Eqinisweni, i- bear market for crypto inokhahlo kakhulu. I-Bitcoin iphahlazeka okungenani i-80% ngemva kokugijima kwenkunzi.
Ngakho-ke, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi uyathanda noma awuthandi, sisemakethe yebhere futhi ngokushesha uma ulamukela kuba ngcono. Eqinisweni, kukho konke esikwaziyo, sesibe semakethe yamabhere isikhathi esingaphezu konyaka manje.
Futhi, lokhu akuyona into efike kithi kungazelelwe, njengoba isenzo samanani besilokhu siphakamisa umvuthwandaba wokugijima kwenkunzi kusukela ngoMeyi 2021.
Kanjani? Hhayi-ke, impendulo ibilokhu iseshadini sonke isikhathi. Kungokwemvelo ukuthi i-bitcoin ikhiphe iziqongo ngemuva kokugijima kwenkunzi, okubonisa ukuphela komjikelezo.
Manje, ungase ucabange ukuthi lokhu kungaba kanjani imakethe yebhere uma i-Bitcoin yenza i-high-time entsha ezinyangeni ezimbalwa kamuva? Yebo, i-bitcoin isiqiniseko yenza esinye isikhathi esiphezulu, kodwa cishe wonke ama-altcoyins enza okuphansi okuphansi.
Futhi uma wazi noma yini mayelana analysis technical, ubuyokwazi ukuthi okuphansi okuphansi kubonisa ukwehla okucacile!
Lokho okushiwoyo, ingabe konke lokhu kujwayelekile?
Ngokuqinisekile, empeleni, yindlela imakethe ye-crypto esebenza ngayo.
Uma umusha kule makethe, ungase uphatheke kabi uma ubheka izimali ozitshalile zehla ngo-80% - 90%. Kodwa-ke, kujwayeleke kakhulu ukuthi ama-alt-coins aphahlazeke ngaphezu kuka-90 futhi kwezinye izimo ngisho nangaphezulu kuka-95% ngaphambi kokuthi akhuphuke abuyele ekuphakameni okusha kwesikhathi sonke.
Yini elandelayo – Ingabe Inkunzi Iyagijima?
Ngaphambi kokuthi uzicasule ngomcabango wokuthi imakethe ifile, futhi asihambi ngaphezu kwalokho, ungase ufune ukubeka ubuso bakho obubi eceleni isikhashana bese uhlehlisa ukuze ubuke isithombe esikhulu.
1. Isithombe Semakhro - Ishadi Lothingo
Uma ungumuntu ojwayelene ne-Technical Analysis, kungenzeka ukuthi uyalithola iphuzu. Kwabanye, leli yishadi lothingo elibonisa ukuhamba kwentengo yeBitcoin. Kubonisa ngokucacile ukuthi ngemva kwayo yonke i-bottom kukhona ingcindezi enkulu yokuthenga emakethe.
Lokhu kuphahlazeka akuyona into engavamile emhlabeni we-crypto, njengoba kusekahle kakhulu ngaphakathi kokwakheka kothingo, okubonisa ngobuchwepheshe ukuthi yisikhathi esihle sokuTHENGA! Kodwa-ke, uma udidekile mayelana nokuthi okubi kuphelile nge-Bitcoin noma cha, funda iphuzu elilandelayo ngokucophelela.
2. Kulungile, Siphahlazeke Kakhulu. Ngakho, Ingabe Iphansi?
Ishadi elingenhla libonisa ukuhamba kwentengo ye-Bitcoin kusukela ngo-2015. Kulungile, ungabali ukuthi ngabe ucebe kangakanani ukube ubutshale imali emuva ngaleso sikhathi. Yisikhathi sokutshala izimali ezinhle manje nasesikhathini esizayo.
Iribhoni ebomvu yi-MA yamasonto onke engama-200 (Isilinganiso Esihambayo). Lo mugqa ubonisa inani elilinganiselwe le-bitcoin emakhandleleni angama-200 okugcina. Kubonakala ngokucacile ukuthi i-Bitcoin ihlale isebenzisa kanjani lesi silinganiso esihambayo njengokwesekwa okuqinile.
Kusukela ngo-2015, i-BTC ibuyele emuva ngamandla isuka ku-200 MA futhi iqhubekile nokugijima kwenkunzi eqinile. Kusukela manje, intengo ayikathinti isilinganiso esihambayo. Ngakho-ke, uma ubungatshala imali ngokusekelwe kudatha yomlando, ungalindela ukuthi i-Bitcoin yehle kakhulu futhi iqabule i-200 Weekly MA.
3. Ukwehlukanisa
Esinye isici esibalulekile ochwepheshe abasicabangelayo ngenkathi bebikezela ikusasa leBitcoin sincipha ngohhafu. Lona umcimbi ofika kanye njalo eminyakeni emine. Njengomuntu omayini i-bitcoin, kunenombolo ethile ye-Bitcoin abayitholayo.
Lesi samba sincishiswa ngesigamu ngemva kokumbiwa kwamabhulokhi amasha angu-2,10,000. Isibonelo, uma ubujwayele ukuthola ama-bitcoins angama-50 ngonyaka ka-2009 bese kuthi ngo-2012 njengamabhulokhi amasha ayi-2,10,000, lo mvuzo uba ngama-25, okungukuthi, uhhafu walokho obukade ukukuthola. Kungani?
Nokho, uSatoshi Nakamoto ongaqondakali wayeyiqili ekucabangeni yonke imephu yomgwaqo yesikhathi esizayo. Lokhu kuncipha kwenza i-Bitocin ibe yilokhu eyikho namuhla. Ukube bekungeke kube khona into enjalo, ngabe wonke umuntu ubezogasela ngama-rigs ezimayini ze-Bitcoin futhi azuze imbuyiselo engapheli.
Le nqubo ilethe ukuzinza emhlabeni we-crypto futhi yagcina ibhalansi echungechungeni lokuhlinzeka nokufunwa.
Esikhathini esedlule, ukwehliswa kwesigamu kwenzekile eminyakeni ka-2009, 2012, 2016, kanye no-2020 futhi manje sekulindeleke ngonyaka ka-2024. Lo mcimbi uletha ingcindezi enkulu yokuthenga emakethe njengoba ukunikezwa kweBitcoin kuncipha. Ngakho-ke, yebo, kungenzeka kakhulu ukuthi imakethe ye-crypto ikhule ngo-2024.
4. Ngakho, Yini Okufanele Uyenze- Ukuthengisa Noma Ukuthenga?
Khumbula, ngokwezobuchwepheshe i-Bitcoin ibilokhu igijima kusukela ngo-2011 futhi abatshalizimali besikhathi eside abakaze bakunambithe ukuthi ukulahlekelwa kuzwakala kanjani. Uma uziba lokhu kuphahlazeka kwesikhashana, ungenza imali engathi sína nge-Bitcoin.
Khetha noma yiliphi ishadi le-Bitcoin, uzothola ukuthi uhlamvu lwemali belulokhu lusezingeni eliphezulu futhi lokhu kuphahlazeka bekukhona nakudala. Okubalulekile yindlela obhekana ngayo nalezi zinxushunxushu.
Ekugcineni, ucabanga ukuthi ngingongcwele ukukunikeza imininingwane eminingi kangaka ngezwe le-crypto?
Isidudla esikhulu Cha!
Konke lokhu kuhlaziya kanye nezibikezelo kusekelwe ngokuphelele ocwaningweni nasocwaningweni lwami. Yebo, ungawasebenzisela izinkomba zakho futhi uthole umbono ngawo wonke umhlaba we-crypto. Kodwa akuzona izeluleko zezimali.
Kuhlale kunconywa ukuthi uzenzele olwakho ucwaningo ngaphambi kokutshala imali oyisebenze kanzima noma yikuphi.
shiya impendulo